The new neutrino heavyweight champion - part 2

 In October (2024), I wrote about the very high energy neutrino event found by the KM3NeT Collaboration, which is building a neutrino telescope in the Mediterranean Sea, of the coast of France.  Details of that event have finally been published in Nature, with enough new info to be worth a second look.   The event seems well reconstructed as a through-going muon, with a muon energy in the detector of about 120_{-60}^+100 PeV.  Assuming that the muon comes from a neutrino (alternatives have been discussed in the literature, but they all involved speculative beyond-standard-model physics), then the neutrino energy will depend on how far from the KM3NeT detector the muon was produced (they lose about half their energy in 1400 m of water), and what fraction of the neutrino energy was transferred to the muon.   This becomes a fairly complex probability calculation, where the most likely energy depends on the assumed neutrino energy spectrum, but the most likely neutrino energy is about 220 PeV, with a 68% confidence level of 110-790 PeV and a 90% range of 72 PeV to 2.6 EeV (see the KM3NeT paper for details).  These are very high energies; 220 PeV is 30,000 times the maximum energy of a proton in CERN's Large Hadron Collider.

The paper also addresses the question of where the neutrino came from; the sky map below shows the best-fit direction along with the uncertainty contours, along with some possible source candidates. To make a long story short, there are some plausible candidates from near (within the error circles), but nothing stands out as a likely candidate.

 

 

The paper also addresses the tension between IceCube's non-observation of any similarly energetic neutrino and the KM3NeT event.   The KM3NeT paper refers to 287 days of live time, whereas the complete/almost complete IceCube has been taking data for about 16 years.  And, KM3NeT is only partially complete, so it currently has much less sensitivity than IceCube.  The degree of tension depends on many details of the calculation, but it is somewhere between one and two orders of magnitude, or between 2 and 3 sigma.  This is not that likely, but it is also not that unlikely.   And, given that the event looks solid, we will probably have to live with it.

The plot at the top of this post shows the flux calculated by KM3NeT (in blue) along with a 2018 limit from IceCube and another limit, from the Auger surface air-shower array in Argentina.  The points at lower energies are IceCube data, but at energies above 10 PeV, there are only limits.  It is worth pointing out that IceCube has a new limit - available on the arXiv, not mentioned in the KM3NeT paper, that is a factor of 3-4 lower than our 2018 limit, further increasing the tension between the two experiments.